Daily Junction.mobi portalPolitics · January 19, 2025 · Sarah Mitchell · 11 min
Greater Manchester's combined authority was supposed to be a weak talking shop. Instead, Andy Burnham has built genuine political power through transport control, housing deals, and high-profile campaigns. But the model's success depends on personality, not structure—and that's a problem.
Andy Burnham was supposed to be a footnote in British political history—a failed Labour leadership candidate retreating to local government after his national ambitions were thwarted. Instead, he has become one of the most powerful and visible politicians outside Westminster, using the Greater Manchester mayoralty to build genuine political authority from a constitutional position that was designed to be weak.
The metro mayor model, introduced in 2017, was a compromise. It gave city-regions some devolved powers without creating genuine federalism or threatening central government control. The powers were limited, the budgets were small, and the role was more coordinator than executive. It was supposed to be a talking shop with a figurehead.
In Manchester, at least, it has become something more. Burnham has used transport control, housing deals, and high-profile campaigns to build real power and deliver visible policy change. The £2 bus fare cap, the Bee Network public transport integration, and vocal opposition to HS2 cancellation have made him a national figure and shown what devolved power can achieve.
But the model's success depends on personality and circumstance, not institutional design. Other metro mayors, with less charisma, smaller economies, or less cooperative local authorities, have struggled to achieve similar impact. This raises a fundamental question: is the Greater Manchester model replicable, or is it a one-off success that depends on Andy Burnham being Andy Burnham?
To understand what Burnham has achieved, you need to understand what he has to work with. Metro mayors are not like the Mayor of London, who has substantial tax-raising powers, control over policing, and a large institutional infrastructure (Transport for London, the Greater London Authority, etc.).
Metro mayors chair combined authorities—groupings of local councils that have agreed to work together and accept some devolved powers from central government. In Greater Manchester's case, this is 10 metropolitan boroughs (Manchester, Salford, Stockport, Trafford, Bolton, Bury, Oldham, Rochdale, Tameside, Wigan).
The powers include:
What metro mayors do not have:
The result is a role with some real powers but severe fiscal constraints. Metro mayors can make decisions, but they cannot raise the money to fund them. They depend on central government grants, which can be withdrawn or redirected.
Burnham's flagship achievement is the Bee Network—the reintegration of Greater Manchester's bus and tram services under public control. This is the first time since deregulation in 1986 that a major English city outside London has taken control of its buses.
The process began in 2023, with the combined authority taking over bus franchising powers (a power granted under devolution deals). Instead of private companies running buses on whatever routes they choose, the combined authority now specifies routes, timetables, and fares, and contracts operators to deliver them.
The most visible result is the £2 bus fare cap (initially funded by central government, now extended using local funds). This is cheaper than London (£1.75) and has led to a significant increase in bus use—up 12% in the first year according to TfGM data.
The Bee Network also integrates buses with the Metrolink tram system, creating a unified brand, ticketing system, and network plan. The goal is a London-style integrated transport system where you can plan a journey across multiple modes without worrying about different operators, tickets, or fare structures.
This is not complete—full integration will take years, and some routes are still operated by private companies under interim contracts. But it is a genuine policy achievement that has made a visible difference to people's lives. And it was only possible because of devolved transport powers.
The £2 bus fare is also a masterclass in political communication. It is simple, tangible, and benefits a large number of people. It is the kind of policy that people notice and remember.
Burnham has been relentless in promoting it, contrasting Greater Manchester's £2 fare with higher fares elsewhere and using it to argue for more devolution. When the government announced a £3 fare cap for the rest of England in 2024, Burnham positioned Greater Manchester as leading the way and Westminster as catching up.
This is not just about transport—it is about building political capital. Burnham has used visible, popular policies to strengthen his position and argue for more powers. The implicit message is: "Give us more control, and we will deliver more for people."
This has worked. Polling shows Burnham has approval ratings in the 60-70% range in Greater Manchester, far higher than most national politicians. He has used this popularity to push for more devolution, more funding, and more autonomy from Westminster.
Housing is more complicated. The combined authority has some powers to accelerate development and has negotiated deals with central government for funding and planning flexibilities. But the results are mixed.
Greater Manchester has built more homes than many other regions—around 10,000-12,000 per year in recent years. But this is still below the estimated need of 15,000+ per year, and much of the new housing is unaffordable for local people.
The combined authority has tried to address this through its spatial framework (a strategic plan for where development should go) and affordable housing requirements. But local authorities retain planning control, and some have been more cooperative than others.
This highlights a structural problem: the metro mayor can set strategy, but delivery depends on 10 separate councils, each with its own political priorities and constraints. When they cooperate, things get done. When they don't, the mayor has limited power to force the issue.
Burnham's highest-profile campaign was his opposition to the cancellation of HS2's northern leg. When the government announced in October 2023 that HS2 would terminate at Birmingham rather than continuing to Manchester, Burnham was vocal and visible in his criticism.
He called it a "betrayal," argued that the North was being short-changed, and demanded that the promised reinvestment in northern transport actually materialise. He used media appearances, social media, and public events to keep the issue in the news.
Did it change the outcome? No. The government went ahead with the cancellation, and the promised reinvestment has been far less than advertised. But the campaign achieved something else: it positioned Burnham as a champion of the North, standing up to Westminster on behalf of his region.
This is political capital that can be used for other battles. It also reinforces the case for more devolution—if the North had control over its own infrastructure spending, Westminster could not cancel projects like this.
For all of Burnham's success, the metro mayor model has severe limitations. The most fundamental is fiscal: metro mayors cannot raise significant revenue. They depend on central government grants, which can be cut, redirected, or made conditional.
This creates a structural dependency. The mayor can make plans, but if the Treasury says no, there is little he can do. The £2 bus fare, for example, was initially funded by a central government grant. When that ended, the combined authority had to find local funding—possible, but difficult, and it limits what else can be done.
Tax-raising powers would change this. If Greater Manchester could levy a small income tax surcharge, or a sales tax, or a property tax, it could fund its own priorities without begging Westminster. But this would require a fundamental shift in the UK's fiscal constitution, and there is no sign of it happening.
The other limitation is institutional fragmentation. The combined authority is a partnership of 10 councils, not a unified government. The mayor can lead, but he cannot command. If local authorities refuse to cooperate, progress stalls.
This has been less of a problem in Greater Manchester, where there is a history of cooperation and a shared sense of regional identity. But in other combined authorities, particularly those covering more disparate areas, it has been a major obstacle.
How much of Greater Manchester's success is due to the institutional model, and how much is due to Andy Burnham personally?
Burnham brings several advantages that other metro mayors lack:
Other metro mayors have not had these advantages. Some are effective local politicians but lack national profile. Some are in smaller or less economically coherent regions. Some have faced less cooperative local authorities or less generous devolution deals.
The result is that Greater Manchester looks like a success story, but it is not clear that the model is replicable. The West Midlands under Andy Street (Conservative, 2017-2024) achieved some success, but less visibility. West Yorkshire under Tracy Brabin has made progress but faces tighter fiscal constraints. Other combined authorities have struggled to make an impact.
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