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Democratic legitimacy: the turnout problem

Voter turnout in metro mayor elections is alarmingly low:

By comparison, turnout in local council elections averages 35-40%, and general elections 65-70%. The low turnout suggests weak public engagement and awareness.

Polling shows many residents cannot name their metro mayor or explain what they do. Critics argue this undermines democratic legitimacy—how can mayors claim a mandate when fewer than one in three voters participate?

Supporters counter that turnout will improve as the role becomes embedded and mayors deliver visible results. They also note that turnout in Police and Crime Commissioner elections is even lower (15-20%), and no one suggests abolishing those roles.

The future: 100% devolution by 2030?

The government has committed to extending devolution to cover 100% of England by 2030. This would require creating combined authorities in areas that currently lack them, including much of the South East, East of England, and rural counties.

However, progress is slow. Some areas resist the metro mayor model, preferring joint committees of council leaders without an elected mayor. The government has insisted that significant powers require a mayor, but this has stalled deals in areas like Oxfordshire and Surrey.

There are also questions about the optimal size and boundaries of combined authorities. Should they follow historic counties, economic geographies, or travel-to-work areas? Greater Manchester and the West Midlands are relatively coherent city regions, but newer authorities like York & North Yorkshire cover vast, diverse areas with little in common.

Conclusion: devolution or decentralization?

England's metro mayors represent the most significant shift in local governance since the abolition of metropolitan counties in 1986. They have delivered investment, raised regional profiles, and provided a counterweight to Westminster's dominance.

But the model remains incomplete. Metro mayors lack the powers, funding autonomy, and public recognition to be truly transformative. The patchwork of different deals creates inequality—why should Greater Manchester have more powers than Cambridgeshire? And the requirement for an elected mayor, while ensuring accountability, has become a barrier to devolution in areas that prefer collective leadership.

The question is whether England is undergoing genuine devolution—a permanent transfer of power to regional governments—or merely decentralization, where central government devolves specific functions while retaining ultimate control. Until metro mayors can raise taxes, control health and education, and operate under a consistent framework, the answer remains unclear.

For now, metro mayors are powerful but constrained, visible but poorly understood, and transformative in some areas but invisible in others. The devolution experiment continues, but its ultimate success depends on whether Westminster is willing to let go—and whether voters care enough to engage.

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