World · July 18, 2026 · Liam Chen · 8 min
Global temperatures have risen 1.2°C since 1850 — here's what's causing it, what the consequences are, and whether we can still avoid catastrophe.
Climate change is the defining crisis of our time. Global temperatures have risen 1.2°C since pre-industrial times (1850), with 2023 the hottest year on record at 1.48°C above baseline. This is caused by burning fossil fuels (coal, oil, gas), which releases 37 billion tonnes of CO2 per year, trapping heat in the atmosphere. CO2 levels are now 420 ppm (parts per million), up from 280 ppm in 1850 — higher than any time in the past 3 million years. The consequences are already visible: extreme weather (heatwaves, floods, droughts), melting ice (Arctic sea ice down 13% per decade), rising sea levels (threatening 200 million people), and ecosystem collapse (coral reefs dying, species extinctions). The Paris Agreement aims to limit warming to 1.5°C (ideally) or 2°C maximum, but current policies put us on track for 2.7°C by 2100 — catastrophic. Here is everything you need to know about climate change — what is happening, why it matters, and what we can do about it.
Climate change is the long-term warming of the planet caused by human activity, primarily burning fossil fuels (coal, oil, gas), which releases greenhouse gases (CO2, methane, nitrous oxide) that trap heat in the atmosphere.
The greenhouse effect is a natural process where gases in the atmosphere (CO2, methane, water vapour) trap heat from the sun, keeping the planet warm enough for life. Without the greenhouse effect, Earth would be -18°C (uninhabitable).
But human activity has increased greenhouse gas levels, intensifying the greenhouse effect and causing the planet to warm.
Global temperatures have risen 1.2°C since pre-industrial times (1850). This may sound small, but:
2023 was the hottest year on record, at 1.48°C above pre-industrial baseline. We are on track to breach 1.5°C by 2030.
Fossil fuels (coal, oil, gas) are formed from ancient plants and animals, buried and compressed over millions of years. When burned, they release CO2 (carbon dioxide), which traps heat in the atmosphere.
Global CO2 emissions: 37 billion tonnes per year (2023)
Sources:
Forests absorb CO2 (photosynthesis), acting as carbon sinks. But deforestation (cutting down forests for agriculture, logging) releases stored CO2 and reduces the planet's ability to absorb CO2.
10 million hectares of forest are lost per year (an area the size of Iceland).
Methane (CH4) is a greenhouse gas 80 times more potent than CO2 (over 20 years). Sources:
Nitrous oxide (N2O) is a greenhouse gas 300 times more potent than CO2. Sources:
CO2 levels are now 420 ppm (parts per million), up from 280 ppm in 1850. This is higher than any time in the past 3 million years.
CO2 levels are measured at Mauna Loa Observatory (Hawaii) and show a clear upward trend (the Keeling Curve).
2023 was the hottest year on record, at 1.48°C above pre-industrial baseline. The 10 hottest years on record have all occurred since 2010.
Sea levels have risen 20 cm since 1880 and are rising 3.4 mm per year (accelerating). This is caused by:
Climate change is making extreme weather more frequent and more severe:
Sea levels could rise 1–2 metres by 2100 (under current policies), threatening:
Climate change is making extreme weather more frequent and more severe, causing:
Climate change is disrupting agriculture and water supplies:
This could lead to famines and mass migration.
Climate change is causing mass extinctions:
Climate change could cost the global economy $23 trillion by 2050 (10% of global GDP), through:
Climate change could trigger irreversible tipping points:
Once these tipping points are crossed, they cannot be reversed.
The Paris Agreement (2015) is a global treaty signed by 195 countries to limit climate change. The goals are:
No. Current policies put us on track for 2.7°C warming by 2100 (catastrophic).
To limit warming to 1.5°C, we need to:
This is technically possible (we have the technology) but politically difficult (requires phasing out fossil fuels, which threatens powerful industries).
The biggest priority is phasing out fossil fuels (coal, oil, gas) and replacing them with renewable energy (wind, solar, nuclear).
Progress:
What is needed:
Transport accounts for 24% of emissions. Solutions: